Forgive me if you find some conflicting data from post to posts. My intention is to provide food for thought, and as I learn new things, I may link it in or reference it, but not go back to earlier posts and make corrections. Thank you and enjoy.

Thursday, September 16, 2010

10 Days left - And Oh, we will remember

There are about 10 days left till a few NBer's get to cast their vote in the provincial election.






A lot of people will not forget the Liberal effort to sell of NB Power last winter. And someone went to a lot of work to advertise that fact. This sign apperas to be the full height of a tractor trailer.







The popular vote at the moment appears to be turning PC. Check out the numbers at threehundredeight.com. Lots of polling coverage from across the country. Current projection is a PC majority government with 29 to 38 seats.

http://threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2010/09/pcs-roar-ahead-in-new-brunswick.html



The local liberal mla and current deputy premier is getting the cold shoulder. Seems no one wants to associate with him, he gets shunned at local fais and events, he has breakfast every morning by himself at a local restaurant. And I heard today that the PC candidate, Joe Elias is even being followed by the media. Apparently they don't want to miss the story of a liberal stronghold riding turning blue.
Here is a neat website dedicated to graphically displaying the debt the current governmetn has racked up in the last four years.






http://picasaweb.google.ca/g.fox.help/nbnetdebt#







My favorite :



SO might this be the next big movie in NB:







Here are a couple of new links to check out as well.

Democracy for NB : http://democracyfornb.com/en/

I think maybe the conservatives took down their liberal parody website,
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/nbvotes2010/story/2010/08/30/nb-liberal-tory-website-221.html

But most of the info is still here.
http://www.youtube.com/user/nbliberalparty

Till the next time, vote with intelligence, and if you don't want to vote, visit this site.

http://www.tatumba.com/blog/archives/1949






Sunday, May 30, 2010

NB Power's latest profit

Yes, I have been a little quiet. Busy with a shutdown and the long hours.

A story of interest that I'm quite sure a few have read, is the profit of NB Power.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/05/29/nb-power-posts-profits.html#socialcomments


To which my only comment is :

"Probably the biggest reason that NB Power showed a big profit was that Graham and his freinds were too busy with "the sale" and Atcon and other such stuff, to be pilfering through NB Power's pockets."

A lot of the social comments from the same article, pretty much wrap up the general feeling of the populations and the government interference.

'Til the next time, keep up the fight.
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Tuesday, April 27, 2010

"It is not about blame," he said. "It is about facts.

"It is not about blame," he said. "It is about facts.

Imagine. These are words straight from Jack Kiers mouth. See the linked article.

http://dailygleaner.canadaeast.com/cityregion/article/1030359

And the comments to the article!!! Seems like Hill and Knowlton are back.

Well Folks, this three per cent rate hike to pay the deferral cost is the same one that The Ganong report reccomended to graham that should be paid right away when Lepreau is finally fininshed. But Graham and Kier wanted to delay it until the end of five years, and then let Hydro Quebec add some interest to it. So it would have been more than the three percent, and that would have been on top of the two percent inflation rate. And for the industrial customers, it would have included the 3% rate hike that HQ (sorry - the Quebec government) plans to implement starting in 2014. (see two posts down)

But I have a beef with my perception of what is transpiring out there.

Seems when MOU1 was announced, the general response was "Don't sell NB Power"

Seems when MOU2 was announced, the general response was "Don't sell NB Power"

Seems when the deal is dead, but the little old Dalhousie station is put on the chopping block, the general response is "Where's Dalhousie?? Does it burn a fossil fuel?" Maybe people are only interested in saving clean nuclear stations and hydro stations. I thought NB Power was ALL of NB Power.

Let 's see , This article was posted a week ago and got 58 comments. With the most thumbs up of 57.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/04/20/nb-dalhousie-generating-station.html#socialcomments

This article about Irving dropping the Lepreau rotors in the water and being sued was posted 10 hours ago and has 58 comments as well. The most thumbs up is already over 120.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/04/27/nb-lepreau-rotors-lawsuit.html

Seems people are just more interested when Irving makes the news for thier general screw up than some distant place far north of the big cities of NB that is dying a slow death.
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.While everyone mulls on that tidbid, lets finish off with another conspiracy theory :

"Let's see, $40M fine to Irving vs $475M cost in delay overruns. Plus Irving makes $M's from gas consumers as long as Lepreau is not putting out electricity.

Sounds like a good deal to me. For Irving that is.

It was an accident wasn't it?"

Tuesday, April 20, 2010

Dalhousie Power Plant up for SALE

Well, I'm quite sure everyone has seen the news.

Our elected officials have decided to break the law again by putting up the Dalhousie station for sale. It may not run much after it's cheap fuel source runs out, but until Lepreau is back online, it would be needed for winter peaking. So that makes it not a surplus asset, and not eligilbe for sale.

But it is. At least according to the CBC.

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/04/20/nb-dalhousie-generating-station.html#socialcomments

I say that the huge gas feild under Dalhousie should be developed by NB Power to provide a source of the fuel. This way they don't have to pay market prices for the gas. Just enough to provide Petrolia with a handsome profit. If the feild is directly below the plant, then there would no main pipeline connection required. Therefore, the gas will not be priced at market rates. This would give Petrolia some profit, and allow them to futher develope the feild and ultimately allow for a pipeline connection. But, like the potash mine in Sussex, NB Power would have already written their own contract, and may get cheap fuel until scheduled end of the station.


Check out this 25 year old study of how several US power plants similiar to Dalhousie were successfully and easily converted to natural gas from oil and coal.

http://dspace.mit.edu/bitstream/handle/1721.1/27246/MIT-EL-86-009-18573189.pdf?sequence=1

And check out how much natural gas is right underneath the Dalhousie station. Probably wouldn't even need a pipeline. Petroliagaz even has the Dalhousie station marked on their drawings as a potential consumer.

http://www.petroliagaz.com/imports/pdf/en/Dalhousie-onepager_janv2009en.pdf

The Prize : A Giant gas feild.

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Tuesday, April 6, 2010

Quebec to implement rate hike

I had blogged about how the Quebec Government was going to implement a 1 cent per kw rate hike in Quebec. Notice I say government, because they can set the rate at whatever they want, regardless of what HQ wants to do.

Quebec just announced the rate hike. The amount is the same, but my timing was a little off. It starts in 2014 and is raised for four years, and then is tied to the inflation rate after 2018. So whatever deal Graham may have signed with Charest, it wouldn't have meant much after the five year freeze.

http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/todays-paper/Annual+hydro+bills+will+2018/2746454/story.html

So basically, the belle province with the unlimited free hydro power will see power rate hikes no different than the rest of the mortal world.

Check out this old article as well. http://www.sqwalk.com/blog2006/000864.html

"Harnessing electricity on the Romaine would be an expensive proposition, probably surpassing 9 cents per kwh."

It is also mentioned in the first article that " Power from Hydro-Québec developments built since 2000 is priced at about eight cents a kilowatt-hour."

And where do these guys get their information. AV Cell executives talking about a 20% rise in their power bill over the next 5 years. At the most, it was to be 3% for five years. So that will be about 16.5%. Anything to sell a paper I guess.


http://nbbusinessjournal.canadaeast.com/front/article/1007591
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Later Folks

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

CBC .....tsk tsk tsk !!!! How about this idea for Dalhousie

Well CBC, you seem to have some facts wrong about the NB Power Dalhousie Generating Station. At least about the plant being designed to burn Orimulsion.
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/new-brunswick/story/2010/03/28/nb-dalhousie-jobs-nbpower-409.html#socialcomments


BOth plant just recently celebrated their 30 and 40th Birthdays. Ironically, just a couple of days before the MOU announcement last fall. It was open to some public and invited guests and retirees.

Unit # 1 is 100MW in size. To put that in perspective, it would supply the then IP Bowater paper mill in the town of Dalhousie when it was first commisioned in 1969. Until a few years ago, 100 MW would kep the province of PEI well lit up. Unit # 1 has a boiler designed to burn coal and #6 fuel oil. It was never fitted with any coal firing equipment, and was used on #6 bunker C through the 70's, and sparadically in the 80's.

Unit # 2 has a size of 212 MW. The boiler and turnbine were supplied from the same manufacturers as the unit # 1. The boiler was designed to burn bunker 6 and Minto coal. This makes it special in the fact that it is a very large boiler for it's capacity to handle the then high ash, high sulphur minto coal. Unit # 2 was commisioned in 1979.

In 1988 the Venezulens approached NB Power looking for a demonstration plant to burn it's new Orimulsion(TM) fuel. Unit # 1 fit the bill perfectly. They graciously added a precipitator to remove flyash from the stack emmisions and spent a year or so supplying Orimulsion to enable the test burn. The test was quite successful, and Venezuela signed a long term contract with NB Power in 1991 to supply fuel to Dalhousie. They also signed many contracts with the British, Italians, and Japanese. I think there some other European countries in the mix as well. For many years Orimulsion flowed all over the planet. With the steady rise in the price of crude through the 90's, the Venezuelans finally decided they could make a lot more money upgrading the oil deposits and selling it as a more refined product. The Orinoco belt is similiar to the Alberta Tar Sands, and said to be as large as the rest of the worlds oil deposits.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orinoco_Belt

Read this to learn a little more about Orimulsion. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orimulsion
It does say that China is the only place left thet gets any Orimulsion, but I beleive that has ended as well.

Poor NB Power was kinda caught in the middle of the ending of the Orimulsion program, and probably some local political issue. And that is all I care to say about that. Needless to say, NB Power sued and won their case to the tune of roughly 350 million dollars. I'd say that you don't win settlement that big, without having some paperwork on your side to back it up.

Anyway, back to Dalhousie. In 1994 both stations at Dalhousie were fully converted to burn Orimulsion adn went commercial that year. They actually were burning it on and off from the time of the test burn through the time they were fully commercial.

The main part of the conversion was the addition of a Flue Gas Desulpherization unit to clean up the emmisions and make it compliant with laws of the day. (and today)

It was the third such unit in Canada to have a FGD added. Another NB Power facility ( Belledune) was first. Ironically, the oil fired unit at Tracy Quebec, has no srubbers,or even precipitators I beleive. Making it antiquated and one of the worst polluting power stations in Canada. It has 4 units, of the same design as Dalhousie, but with a total output of 660MW. It has a full time staff of 120 employees. It is required for peaking and backup.
http://www.hydroquebec.com/generation/centrale-thermique.html

And yet Dalhousie would be slated to be closed and demolished in favour of keeping a more polluting station running in Quebec. That is not environmetally freindly now is it????

The value of that FGD in todays cost to add to a 312 MW station at $319 per kw. Or $319 x 1000kw/mw x 312MW = $100,000,000. That's in US dollars.

http://www.powermag.com/business/Update-Whats-That-Scrubber-Going-to-Cost_1743_p2.html

The US fleet of coal fired power plants currently equipped with
flue-gas desulfurization systems:

• US – 248 out of 1535 fossil units have FGD
– 101.648 GW scrubbed of 411.840 GW total
– Increase in capacity from 21.39% to 24.68%
from 1994 to 2005 .

http://www.topsoe.com/sitecore/shell/Applications/~/media/PDF%20files/Topsoe_Catalysis_Forum/2007/Hower.ashx

So there is another 1200 power plant in the US that will require what Dalhousie already has.
Seems there must be some value for the station in the future.


All the information I read says that more and more station will be getting scrubbers added. And the costs are rising substantially.

Let's throw out this idea. Nova Scotia Power has coal fired stations. With NO scrubbers. Some day they will be forced to clean up their act. Why not get them to capatilize the cost of converting the Dalhousie station back to coal. Then NB Power can just do a power purchase agreement with NS Power. They supply fuel, NB Power supplies them electricity. NS Power clean up their act somewhat and Dalhousie runs till the end of its useful life. It's evident from the information out there, that there is no miracle cure for the increasing demand for electricity. It's going to take a lot of efficiency, and a lot of wind and solar to offset the demand for the traditional power plant.
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Saturday, March 27, 2010

Self Sufficiency

I see the political crying is still ongoing in the Newspapers. Where the was apparently no problem with NB Power 6 months ago, there is a near bankcruptcy today. At least according to the spin doctors.

Now everyone from Keir to the new NB Power CEO is looking for ideas on how to save the province.

Check this one out. This is true self sufficiency.

http://www.renewableenergyworld.com/rea/news/article/2010/03/district-heating-and-beyond?cmpid=WNL-Friday-March26-2010

Seems a litle more reasonable than paying a banker or some private invester $100 a MW hour for windturbine. I beleive the community energy initiative is a good idea, but for a community to barely make 2 or 3% profit (if that) on windmill, and basically create no local jobs, seems like a stretch. And a far cry for self sufficiency.

This is also self sufficiency, but to bad our feeble provincial government, who has as much debt as Irving has assets, has to loan them a few million to do it.

http://www.jdirving.com/article.aspx?id=1904
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I don't know if this is self sufficiency, but apparently dumping 10's of millions of millions of dollars year after year into pulp mills in the normal thing to do.

http://www.cbc.ca/money/story/2009/09/30/nb-mill-grant.html

And more grant money here. http://www.environmentalleader.com/2010/02/22/pulp-mills-invest-in-energy-efficiency-biorefinery-projects/

Does it ever end? Did these companies ever stand on their own? It seems they may as well become crown corporations as well so we can regulate them.